World Bank slashes Romania's growth forecast for 2026

Business Forum
The World Bank has significantly downgraded its economic growth projections for Romania this year, lowering expectations to 0.5% from the 1.3% forecast issued at the start of 2026. Experts now anticipate a 1.4% expansion for 2027, a notable decrease from the previously estimated 1.9%.

This deceleration is largely attributed to the government's fiscal adjustment measures. Tightened fiscal policies, including wage and pension freezes in the public sector, coupled with restrictive monetary policy, have severely constrained private consumption. Consumption growth plummeted to 0.6% last year, a sharp decline from nearly 6% in 2024. 

Consequently, overall economic growth slowed to 0.7%, marking the country's weakest performance since the COVID-19 pandemic.

Despite the slowdown, the report highlights progress in deficit reduction. A robust reform package involving tax hikes and spending freezes helped narrow the budget deficit to 8% of GDP last year, down from 9.3% in 2024.

The World Bank estimates the deficit will fall below 6% of GDP by 2027.

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Romanias budget deficit drops to 5.72% on 10 months
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Romania's budget deficit drops to 5.72% on 10 months

Romania's consolidated general budget recorded a deficit of €21.8 billion (RON 108.87 billion) in the first ten months of 2025, representing 5.72% of GDP. This marks a decrease of €110 million compared to the same period in 2024, when the deficit stood at 6.22% of GDP.  

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Business Forum  |  8 April, 2026 at 7:00 PM
Business Forum  |  8 April, 2026 at 2:30 PM