Romanian central bank maintains key rate at 6.50%
The Board of the National Bank of Romania (BNR) decided on Friday to maintain the monetary policy interest rate at 6.50% per year.
The Board of the National Bank of Romania (BNR) decided on Friday to maintain the monetary policy interest rate at 6.50% per year.
Romania's inflation rate, already among the highest in CEE at 5.8% as of June 2025, is projected to rise sharply, could potentially reach close to 9% in the coming months.
Romania is bracing for a period of economic stagnation in 2025, with growth forecasts significantly dampened by new fiscal austerity measures.
Romania is moving closer to achieving fiscal-budgetary rebalancing, according to a recent report by the international rating agency Moody's.
Inflation will increase over the planned fiscal package announced by Romania's Government, which includes the increase of fuel excises.
Romania's Ministry of Economy says it submitted a letter of intent to the European Commission to host the planned Black Sea AI Gigafactory.
The Macroeconomic confidence index, compiled by the CFA Romania Association, registered a significant increase in May 2025, rising by 11.5 points to a value of 44.9 points.
Net investments in the Romanian national economy totalled RON 37.48 billion (€7.57 billion) in Q1 2025, marking a 4.3% increase compared to Q1 2024, according INS.
The Romanian economy is projected to grow by 1.3% this year, a decrease from the 2.1% forecast in January, according to the latest World Bank report on global economies.
Romania finds itself under scrutiny regarding its fiscal position and ongoing macroeconomic imbalances in the European Commission's 2025 European Semester Spring Package.
Romania's GDP is projected to expand modestly from 0.9% in 2024 to 1.2% in 2025, though significant downside risks, including geopolitical tensions, cloud this outlook, finds new research by ING Romania economists.
In a significant political shift for CEE, Romania elected Nicușor Dan as president on May 18, 2025, while Poland's pro-European candidate Rafał Trzaskowski narrowly led the first round of its presidential election. These outcomes suggest a regional move toward centrist, pro-EU leadership.
Foreign Direct Investments (FDI) in Romania decreased to €1.67 billion in Q1 2025, down over 32% versus the same period last year.
Romania's Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased marginally by 0.07% compared to March 2025, while the annual inflation rate reached 4.9% by April 2025, according to the National Institute of Statistics (INS).
The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) has cut its 2025 growth forecast for its regions by 0.2 percentage points to 3.0%, with a moderate rebound to 3.4% expected in 2026. This follows a similar downgrade in February and reflects mounting global headwinds, including rising trade policy uncertainty, softening external demand, and newly imposed tariffs.
The EBRD has slightly revised its forecasts for the Romanian economy's growth in 2025 but maintained its predictions for 2026, according to a recent report.
Romania's trade balance deficit (FOB/CIF) reached €8.45 billion in Q1 2025, marking a 26.9% increase (€1.79 billion euros) compared to the same period of last year,
The Romanian leu fell on Thursday against the euro, which was calculated by the National Bank of Romania (BNR) at RON 5.1222
The Romanian leu (RON) depreciated on Tuesday against the euro, which the National Bank of Romania (BNR) calculated at RON 5.0378.
The seasonally adjusted unemployment rate was 5.5% in March 2025, a decrease of 0.1 percentage points compared to the previous year, according to data published by the National Institute of Statistics (INS).
Romania's consolidated general budget execution closed the first seven months of 2025 with a nominal deficit of RON 76.44 billion (€15.34 billion), an increase of RON 5.4 billion.
Romanian electricity major Electrica Group has announced a substantial increase in its financial performance for H1 2025, with a net profit reaching RON 421.4 million.
Germany-based energy company E.ON has issued €1.1 billion in green bonds through a public transaction.
Romanian private healthcare operator MedLife has reported a pro-forma consolidated turnover of RON 1.57 billion (€316 million) in H1 2025, a 20.3% increase compared to the same period in 2024.
Sphera Franchise Group, the largest food service group in Romania, announced consolidated sales of RON 745.2 million (€150.3 million) for H1 2025, marking a slight increase of 0.7%.