Economy | 25 September, 2025 at 11:30 AM
EBRD reduces Romania's 2025 growth forecast
Romania's real GDP growth forecast for 2025 has been cut by the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) in a new report.
Romania's real GDP growth forecast for 2025 has been cut by the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) in a new report.
The IMF projects that Romania's economy will grow by 1% in 2025 and 1.4% in 2026, according to a report released at the end of a mission in the country.
Romania's annual inflation rate rose to 9.9% in August, up from 7.84% in July, driven by growth of prices for non-food goods (10.48%), services (9.85%), and food products (8.92%).
Romania's economy has secured the third-highest GDP growth rate in the EU during Q2, according to Eurostat.
The Board of the National Bank of Romania (BNR) decided on Friday to maintain the monetary policy interest rate at 6.50% per year.
Romania's inflation rate, already among the highest in CEE at 5.8% as of June 2025, is projected to rise sharply, could potentially reach close to 9% in the coming months.
Romania is bracing for a period of economic stagnation in 2025, with growth forecasts significantly dampened by new fiscal austerity measures.
Romania is moving closer to achieving fiscal-budgetary rebalancing, according to a recent report by the international rating agency Moody's.
Inflation will increase over the planned fiscal package announced by Romania's Government, which includes the increase of fuel excises.
Romania's Ministry of Economy says it submitted a letter of intent to the European Commission to host the planned Black Sea AI Gigafactory.
The Macroeconomic confidence index, compiled by the CFA Romania Association, registered a significant increase in May 2025, rising by 11.5 points to a value of 44.9 points.
Net investments in the Romanian national economy totalled RON 37.48 billion (€7.57 billion) in Q1 2025, marking a 4.3% increase compared to Q1 2024, according INS.
The Romanian economy is projected to grow by 1.3% this year, a decrease from the 2.1% forecast in January, according to the latest World Bank report on global economies.
Romania finds itself under scrutiny regarding its fiscal position and ongoing macroeconomic imbalances in the European Commission's 2025 European Semester Spring Package.
Romania's GDP is projected to expand modestly from 0.9% in 2024 to 1.2% in 2025, though significant downside risks, including geopolitical tensions, cloud this outlook, finds new research by ING Romania economists.
In a significant political shift for CEE, Romania elected Nicușor Dan as president on May 18, 2025, while Poland's pro-European candidate Rafał Trzaskowski narrowly led the first round of its presidential election. These outcomes suggest a regional move toward centrist, pro-EU leadership.
Foreign Direct Investments (FDI) in Romania decreased to €1.67 billion in Q1 2025, down over 32% versus the same period last year.
Romania's Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased marginally by 0.07% compared to March 2025, while the annual inflation rate reached 4.9% by April 2025, according to the National Institute of Statistics (INS).
The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) has cut its 2025 growth forecast for its regions by 0.2 percentage points to 3.0%, with a moderate rebound to 3.4% expected in 2026. This follows a similar downgrade in February and reflects mounting global headwinds, including rising trade policy uncertainty, softening external demand, and newly imposed tariffs.
The EBRD has slightly revised its forecasts for the Romanian economy's growth in 2025 but maintained its predictions for 2026, according to a recent report.
Premier Energy has signed an agreement to acquire Distribuție Energie Oltenia (DEO) from funds managed by Macquarie Asset Management for approximately €700 million.
Romania's domestic energy production fell 2.1% in the first two months of 2026 compared to the same period last year, according to the National Institute of Statistics (INS).
Grup Șerban Holding announced that its subsidiary Interagroaliment has filed for insolvency proceedings on April 15, 2026, due to financial difficulties.
The EU employment rate reached over 76% in 2025, but Romania remains among member states with the lowest employment rates, according to data published by Eurostat on Friday.
The European Commission has opened an in-depth investigation into Romania's planned state support for refurbishing the Cernavoda 1 nuclear reactor, questioning whether the €3.2 billion aid package complies with EU state aid rules.