EBRD reduces Romania's 2025 growth forecast

Business Forum
Romania's real GDP growth forecast for 2025 has been cut by the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) in a new report.

The latest projection of 0.9% marks a notable revision of -0.7 percentage points from the previous forecast of 1.6% in May 2025.

This downward trend is a continuation of the slowdown seen in 2024, when growth stood at 0.8%, a decrease from the 2.4% recorded in 2023. 

Across the Southeastern Europe region, the growth forecast has been lowered by -0.3 percentage points, from the previous projection of 1.9%. This downward trend follows a significant slowdown in growth in 2024, when the region's economy expanded by just 1.6%, down from 2.3% in 2023. 

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The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) has cut its 2025 growth forecast for its regions by 0.2 percentage points to 3.0%, with a moderate rebound to 3.4% expected in 2026. This follows a similar downgrade in February and reflects mounting global headwinds, including rising trade policy uncertainty, softening external demand, and newly imposed tariffs.

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Business Forum  |  11 November, 2025 at 3:53 PM