Economy | 4 July, 2025 at 4:35 PM
Fiscal package to push Romanian inflation to over 7%, says ING
Inflation will increase over the planned fiscal package announced by Romania's Government, which includes the increase of fuel excises.
Inflation will increase over the planned fiscal package announced by Romania's Government, which includes the increase of fuel excises.
Romania's Ministry of Economy says it submitted a letter of intent to the European Commission to host the planned Black Sea AI Gigafactory.
The Macroeconomic confidence index, compiled by the CFA Romania Association, registered a significant increase in May 2025, rising by 11.5 points to a value of 44.9 points.
Net investments in the Romanian national economy totalled RON 37.48 billion (€7.57 billion) in Q1 2025, marking a 4.3% increase compared to Q1 2024, according INS.
The Romanian economy is projected to grow by 1.3% this year, a decrease from the 2.1% forecast in January, according to the latest World Bank report on global economies.
Romania finds itself under scrutiny regarding its fiscal position and ongoing macroeconomic imbalances in the European Commission's 2025 European Semester Spring Package.
Romania's GDP is projected to expand modestly from 0.9% in 2024 to 1.2% in 2025, though significant downside risks, including geopolitical tensions, cloud this outlook, finds new research by ING Romania economists.
In a significant political shift for CEE, Romania elected Nicușor Dan as president on May 18, 2025, while Poland's pro-European candidate Rafał Trzaskowski narrowly led the first round of its presidential election. These outcomes suggest a regional move toward centrist, pro-EU leadership.
Foreign Direct Investments (FDI) in Romania decreased to €1.67 billion in Q1 2025, down over 32% versus the same period last year.
Romania's Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased marginally by 0.07% compared to March 2025, while the annual inflation rate reached 4.9% by April 2025, according to the National Institute of Statistics (INS).
The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) has cut its 2025 growth forecast for its regions by 0.2 percentage points to 3.0%, with a moderate rebound to 3.4% expected in 2026. This follows a similar downgrade in February and reflects mounting global headwinds, including rising trade policy uncertainty, softening external demand, and newly imposed tariffs.
The EBRD has slightly revised its forecasts for the Romanian economy's growth in 2025 but maintained its predictions for 2026, according to a recent report.
Romania's trade balance deficit (FOB/CIF) reached €8.45 billion in Q1 2025, marking a 26.9% increase (€1.79 billion euros) compared to the same period of last year,
The Romanian leu fell on Thursday against the euro, which was calculated by the National Bank of Romania (BNR) at RON 5.1222
The Romanian leu (RON) depreciated on Tuesday against the euro, which the National Bank of Romania (BNR) calculated at RON 5.0378.
The seasonally adjusted unemployment rate was 5.5% in March 2025, a decrease of 0.1 percentage points compared to the previous year, according to data published by the National Institute of Statistics (INS).
A study by Forvis Mazars Group reveals that while C-suite executives in Romania and CEE remain largely optimistic about growth.
The Macroeconomic Confidence Index, compiled by the CFA Romania Association, has shown a modest increase in March 2025, rising by 7.3 points to 43.9 points.
The World Bank projects that economic growth in the Europe and Central Asia region will decelerate in the coming years, while Romania will stay on a growth path.
The IMF has lowered its growth projections for the Romanian economy this year, according to its latest World Economic Outlook report published on Tuesday.
Food Angels Hub, Romania's first investment community dedicated to the food sector, has launched with a mission to develop and scale companies operating in food production.
Romania's economy grew 0.8% on the gross series and 1.4% on the seasonally adjusted series in the first nine months of 2025 compared to the same period in 2024.
Vastint Romania has announced the opening of Saint Roastery Botanica urban café in Business Garden Bucharest.
Nearly half of Romanians would invest in battery storage systems for green energy if they received government subsidies, according to a study conducted for despre-energie.ro, a project by E.ON and Delgaz Grid companies.
Despite 68% of Romanians claiming familiarity with sustainability, only a quarter consistently use it in daily decisions.