Moody's projects budget deficit of 7.8% for Romania in 2025
Romania is moving closer to achieving fiscal-budgetary rebalancing, according to a recent report by the international rating agency Moody's.
Romania is moving closer to achieving fiscal-budgetary rebalancing, according to a recent report by the international rating agency Moody's.
Inflation will increase over the planned fiscal package announced by Romania's Government, which includes the increase of fuel excises.
Romania's Ministry of Economy says it submitted a letter of intent to the European Commission to host the planned Black Sea AI Gigafactory.
The Macroeconomic confidence index, compiled by the CFA Romania Association, registered a significant increase in May 2025, rising by 11.5 points to a value of 44.9 points.
Net investments in the Romanian national economy totalled RON 37.48 billion (€7.57 billion) in Q1 2025, marking a 4.3% increase compared to Q1 2024, according INS.
The Romanian economy is projected to grow by 1.3% this year, a decrease from the 2.1% forecast in January, according to the latest World Bank report on global economies.
Romania finds itself under scrutiny regarding its fiscal position and ongoing macroeconomic imbalances in the European Commission's 2025 European Semester Spring Package.
Romania's GDP is projected to expand modestly from 0.9% in 2024 to 1.2% in 2025, though significant downside risks, including geopolitical tensions, cloud this outlook, finds new research by ING Romania economists.
In a significant political shift for CEE, Romania elected Nicușor Dan as president on May 18, 2025, while Poland's pro-European candidate Rafał Trzaskowski narrowly led the first round of its presidential election. These outcomes suggest a regional move toward centrist, pro-EU leadership.
Foreign Direct Investments (FDI) in Romania decreased to €1.67 billion in Q1 2025, down over 32% versus the same period last year.
Romania's Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased marginally by 0.07% compared to March 2025, while the annual inflation rate reached 4.9% by April 2025, according to the National Institute of Statistics (INS).
The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) has cut its 2025 growth forecast for its regions by 0.2 percentage points to 3.0%, with a moderate rebound to 3.4% expected in 2026. This follows a similar downgrade in February and reflects mounting global headwinds, including rising trade policy uncertainty, softening external demand, and newly imposed tariffs.
The EBRD has slightly revised its forecasts for the Romanian economy's growth in 2025 but maintained its predictions for 2026, according to a recent report.
Romania's trade balance deficit (FOB/CIF) reached €8.45 billion in Q1 2025, marking a 26.9% increase (€1.79 billion euros) compared to the same period of last year,
The Romanian leu fell on Thursday against the euro, which was calculated by the National Bank of Romania (BNR) at RON 5.1222
The Romanian leu (RON) depreciated on Tuesday against the euro, which the National Bank of Romania (BNR) calculated at RON 5.0378.
The seasonally adjusted unemployment rate was 5.5% in March 2025, a decrease of 0.1 percentage points compared to the previous year, according to data published by the National Institute of Statistics (INS).
A study by Forvis Mazars Group reveals that while C-suite executives in Romania and CEE remain largely optimistic about growth.
The Macroeconomic Confidence Index, compiled by the CFA Romania Association, has shown a modest increase in March 2025, rising by 7.3 points to 43.9 points.
The World Bank projects that economic growth in the Europe and Central Asia region will decelerate in the coming years, while Romania will stay on a growth path.

Energy company Electrica informs investors and the capital market that it has obtained the technical grid connection permits (ATR) for 17 new battery energy storage projects (BESS), with a total capacity of approximately 700 MWh.
The European Retail Banking Radar, Kearney's latest study now in its 18th edition, shows that Europe is entering a period of normalisation following the conditions of 2023–2025. For Romania, the challenge extends beyond the normalisation of interest rates.
Digi Spain has announced its intention to launch an initial public offering (IPO) on the Spanish stock exchanges, aiming to raise approximately €150 million.
Romania's national electricity transmission network operator, Transelectrica, has halted scheduled maintenance shutdowns to ensure the grid operates at maximum capacity during an ongoing extreme heatwave. The preventive measures aim to mitigate operational risks associated with severe weather conditions.
The European Commission has approved, under EU State aid rules, Romanian measures for the national investment and development bank Banca de Investiții și Dezvoltare (BID).