IMF downgrades growth forecast for Romanian economy

Business Forum
The IMF has lowered its growth projections for the Romanian economy this year, according to its latest World Economic Outlook report published on Tuesday.

The forecast has been revised downwards to 1.6%, a significant drop from the 3.3% predicted last October.

The IMF now anticipates Romania's GDP to reach 1.6% in 2025, following a modest 0.9% expansion in the previous year. The institution forecasts a pick-up in economic growth to 2.8% in 2026.

Furthermore, IMF's experts expect Romania's current account deficit to narrow to 7.6% of GDP in 2025 and 7.4% of GDP in 2026, down from an anticipated 8.3% of GDP in 2024. 

In addition, the IMF projects an average annual inflation rate of 4.6% for Romania in 2025 and 3.1% in 2026, following a 5.6% increase in prices last year. 

At the same time, the IMF forecasts the unemployment rate to remain steady at 5.4% in 2025, with a slight decrease to 5.2% expected in 2026. 

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Business Forum  |  13 January, 2026 at 3:28 PM