Romania's inflation rate, already among the highest in CEE at 5.8% as of June 2025, is projected to rise sharply, could potentially reach close to 9% in the coming months.
Romania is bracing for a period of economic stagnation in 2025, with growth forecasts significantly dampened by new fiscal austerity measures.
Romania's fiscal package is expected to have a substantial budgetary impact, estimated at 1.1% of GDP this year and 3.5% in 2026, finds an analysis by Fitch Ratings.
The annual inflation rate in Romania rose to 5.7% in June 2025, up from 5.45% in May.
Inflation will increase over the planned fiscal package announced by Romania's Government, which includes the increase of fuel excises.
Romania's annual inflation rate climbed unexpectedly to 5.5% in May, up from 4.9% in April, driven primarily by increases in food and services prices.
The Romanian economy is projected to grow by 1.3% this year, a decrease from the 2.1% forecast in January, according to the latest World Bank report on global economies.
Inflation and energy prices are subjects of concern for more than half of Romanians, according to a recent European survey by Boston Consulting Group (BCG).
Romania's GDP is projected to expand modestly from 0.9% in 2024 to 1.2% in 2025, though significant downside risks, including geopolitical tensions, cloud this outlook, finds new research by ING Romania economists.
Romania continued to record the highest inflation rate in April, which was more than double compared to the euro area rate.
The Board of the National Bank of Romania (NBR) decided on Friday to maintain the key interest rate at 6.50%.
Romania's Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased marginally by 0.07% compared to March 2025, while the annual inflation rate reached 4.9% by April 2025, according to the National Institute of Statistics (INS).
The EBRD has slightly revised its forecasts for the Romanian economy's growth in 2025 but maintained its predictions for 2026, according to a recent report.
The IMF has lowered its growth projections for the Romanian economy this year, according to its latest World Economic Outlook report published on Tuesday.
Romania's annual inflation rate fell to 4.86% in March 2025, down from 5.02% in February, according to data released on Friday by the National Institute of Statistics (INS).
The National Bank of Romania (BNR) decided on Monday to maintain the key interest rate at 6.5%, while warning that the inflation rate could pick up in Q2 2025 and the labor market remain unfazed.
Adjusting for inflation shows a more moderate increase of 52.1% over the last 10 years and 8.5% in the last year, indicating a market with a sustainable development.
Annual inflation rate will fluctuate sharply in the first semester of 2025 and in the second semester it will decrease on a higher trajectory than in the previous projection.
According to data presented in November 2024 by the governor of the National Bank of Romania (NBR), Mugur Isărescu, the inflation forecast for the end of 2025 is estimated at 3.5%.
The consumer price index in December 2024 compared to November 2024 was up by 0.29%.
Mozaik Investments has announced the acquisition of a majority stake in Genesis College, one of Romania's largest private educational institutions.
Romanian energy producer Romgaz Group has released its preliminary operational results for H1 2025, showing a largely stable performance compared to the same period in 2024.
T2Y Capital, a financial investor focused on growth capital in the energy sector, is investing in Prime Batteries, making it the second-largest shareholder.
Citi Romania has implemented three GenAI tools for its employees, as part of a significant global investment designed to simplify workflows and streamline daily tasks.
Renewable EPC by Allview, part of Visual Fan, has signed an energy storage deal worth €16.6 million with Teiuș Solar, an affiliate of Eurowind Energy.