Romania's central bank expects inflation near 10% in September
Romania's inflation rate is expected to reach a peak of 9.6-9.7% in September, and will likely remain above 9% by the end of the year.
Romania's inflation rate is expected to reach a peak of 9.6-9.7% in September, and will likely remain above 9% by the end of the year.
Romania's annual inflation rate has surged to 7.8% in July 2025, marking a significant increase from the previous month, according to the National Institute of Statistics (INS).
The Board of the National Bank of Romania (BNR) decided on Friday to maintain the monetary policy interest rate at 6.50% per year.
Romania's inflation rate, already among the highest in CEE at 5.8% as of June 2025, is projected to rise sharply, could potentially reach close to 9% in the coming months.
Romania is bracing for a period of economic stagnation in 2025, with growth forecasts significantly dampened by new fiscal austerity measures.
Romania's fiscal package is expected to have a substantial budgetary impact, estimated at 1.1% of GDP this year and 3.5% in 2026, finds an analysis by Fitch Ratings.
The annual inflation rate in Romania rose to 5.7% in June 2025, up from 5.45% in May.
Inflation will increase over the planned fiscal package announced by Romania's Government, which includes the increase of fuel excises.
Romania's annual inflation rate climbed unexpectedly to 5.5% in May, up from 4.9% in April, driven primarily by increases in food and services prices.
The Romanian economy is projected to grow by 1.3% this year, a decrease from the 2.1% forecast in January, according to the latest World Bank report on global economies.
Inflation and energy prices are subjects of concern for more than half of Romanians, according to a recent European survey by Boston Consulting Group (BCG).
Romania's GDP is projected to expand modestly from 0.9% in 2024 to 1.2% in 2025, though significant downside risks, including geopolitical tensions, cloud this outlook, finds new research by ING Romania economists.
Romania continued to record the highest inflation rate in April, which was more than double compared to the euro area rate.
The Board of the National Bank of Romania (NBR) decided on Friday to maintain the key interest rate at 6.50%.
Romania's Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased marginally by 0.07% compared to March 2025, while the annual inflation rate reached 4.9% by April 2025, according to the National Institute of Statistics (INS).
The EBRD has slightly revised its forecasts for the Romanian economy's growth in 2025 but maintained its predictions for 2026, according to a recent report.
The IMF has lowered its growth projections for the Romanian economy this year, according to its latest World Economic Outlook report published on Tuesday.
Romania's annual inflation rate fell to 4.86% in March 2025, down from 5.02% in February, according to data released on Friday by the National Institute of Statistics (INS).
The National Bank of Romania (BNR) decided on Monday to maintain the key interest rate at 6.5%, while warning that the inflation rate could pick up in Q2 2025 and the labor market remain unfazed.
Adjusting for inflation shows a more moderate increase of 52.1% over the last 10 years and 8.5% in the last year, indicating a market with a sustainable development.

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