This increase was driven by a 7.36% rise in food prices, a 7.05% increase in services, and a 3.9% climb in non-food goods, according to data by the National Institute of Statistics (INS).

The consumer price index in June 2025, compared to May 2025, was 0.45%. The inflation rate since the start of the year reached 3.1%.

"We now forecast inflation to peak at approximately 8.2% in September-October, once the tax hikes are fully reflected in prices. It is then expected to ease slightly to 7.9% by year-end. From the second half of 2026 onwards, we anticipate significant disinflation, driven by base effects and weakening demand, potentially reducing inflation to around 4.0% by the end of 2026," said Valentin Tătaru, Chief Economist at ING Bank Romania.

The average consumer price change over the last 12 months was 5.1%. 

Furthermore, the annual inflation rate in June 2025, when compared to June 2024 and calculated using the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP), stood at 5.8%. 

The average change in consumer prices over the last 12 months, determined by the HICP, was 5.3%, according to the INS.