ING forecasts 4.5% inflation for Romania by year-end
Romania's headline inflation rose to 9.6% in January 2026, a figure slightly exceeding market expectations due to a significant surge in utility costs.
Romania's headline inflation rose to 9.6% in January 2026, a figure slightly exceeding market expectations due to a significant surge in utility costs.
The Romanian economy is entering 2026 on a fragile footing, prompting ING analysts to significantly lower their growth expectations for the year.
Romania's inflation remained at 9.7% at the end of 2025, with mixed pressures across different spending categories in December.
Inflation will increase over the planned fiscal package announced by Romania's Government, which includes the increase of fuel excises.
Romania's GDP is projected to expand modestly from 0.9% in 2024 to 1.2% in 2025, though significant downside risks, including geopolitical tensions, cloud this outlook, finds new research by ING Romania economists.

Romania has achieved a significant victory at the International Centre for Settlement of Investment Disputes (ICSID) in Washington regarding the Bucharest-based Casa Radio project.
Romania's Ministry of Finance is conducting its fourth public offering of Fidelis government bonds this year, running from April 14 to 21 on the BVB. .
Foraj Sonde Videle has announced the acquisition of Raffles Energy, a British holding company that owns two Romanian energy companies active in natural gas and electricity production.
Romania is launching its most ambitious industrial policy package in recent years, featuring nine state aid schemes with an estimated budget of €5 billion by 2032,
Romania's annual inflation rate climbed to 9.87% in March from 9.31% in February, driven by an 11.05% increase in services, 10.89% rise in non-food goods, and 7.67% growth in food prices, according to data published by the National Statistics Institute (INS).