ING forecasts 4.5% inflation for Romania by year-end
Romania's headline inflation rose to 9.6% in January 2026, a figure slightly exceeding market expectations due to a significant surge in utility costs.
Romania's headline inflation rose to 9.6% in January 2026, a figure slightly exceeding market expectations due to a significant surge in utility costs.
The Romanian economy is entering 2026 on a fragile footing, prompting ING analysts to significantly lower their growth expectations for the year.
Romania's inflation remained at 9.7% at the end of 2025, with mixed pressures across different spending categories in December.
Inflation will increase over the planned fiscal package announced by Romania's Government, which includes the increase of fuel excises.
Romania's GDP is projected to expand modestly from 0.9% in 2024 to 1.2% in 2025, though significant downside risks, including geopolitical tensions, cloud this outlook, finds new research by ING Romania economists.

Romanian energy giant Hidroelectrica recorded a net profit of €263 million in the first quarter of 2026, marking a 122% increase compared to same period last year, according to a report submitted to the BVB.
Romania's central bank has decided to maintain its key policy interest rate at 6.5% per year, following a meeting of the National Bank of Romania's (BNR) board of directors on Friday.
Digi Communications reported consolidated revenues of €583 million in Q1 2026, a 10% year-on-year increase. At the same time, adjusted EBITDA (excluding IFRS 16 impact) reached €161.2 million, up 15% compared to Q1 2025.
Romania's central bank announced on Friday that annual inflation will rise above previously forecast levels in Q2 2026, but will experience a substantial downward correction in Q3.
Uber Technologies announced new products and features at its annual Go-Get product event, including hotel bookings and travel tools that are planned to roll out globally in the coming months.