Colliers cuts Romania retail delivery forecast for 2026

Business Forum
Romania's modern retail market added approximately 80,000 sqm of new retail space in the first half of 2026, down from around 122,000 sqm in the same period last year, bringing total stock to more than 5.2 million sqm, according to a Colliers report. The decline was largely due to the absence of large-scale projects, with the Mall Moldova extension having accounted for nearly 50% of first-half deliveries in 2025. Colliers has revised its full-year 2026 delivery estimate by approximately 35%, from around 230,000 sqm to 150,000 sqm. The largest completions in the first half of 2026 were the Arena Mall extension in Bacău (approximately 17,000 sqm) and the first phase of Urbano Shopping & Living in Cluj-Napoca (around 15,000 sqm), alongside Aurora Retail Park in Bacău, the Electroputere Parc extension in Craiova and Galeriile Iris in Târgoviște, each contributing approximately 10,000 to 12,000 sqm.

These deliveries took place against a more difficult economic backdrop, marked by a weaker labour market, higher taxes, domestic uncertainty and price pressures, all of which weighed on consumer spending. Higher oil prices and rising logistics costs added further pressure, while consumer confidence fell close to its lowest level since 2012. Colliers data indicate a slight recovery from the low reached in the first half of the year, though retail sales remain marginally below 2025 levels. Dominant shopping centres and new developments continue to report high occupancy, and several top-performing malls in major cities have waiting lists. Romania also continues to attract international brands, with the entry of names such as Lululemon reflecting continued interest in the local market.

"Consumers seem more pessimistic than the actual numbers suggest. Confidence remains relatively low, but purchasing power is still well above where it was ten or fifteen years ago, and retail sales remain at a healthy level compared with recent years. In practice, this means that consumers are spending almost as much as they did in 2025, but because prices have increased, they are buying less than they were a year ago," said Simina Niculiță, Director and Partner, Retail Agency at Colliers Romania.

Looking ahead, the 2027 pipeline is more encouraging. The five largest projects alone could add approximately 140,000 sqm, alongside numerous smaller retail parks, potentially making 2027 the most active year for retail deliveries in the past decade and a half, provided projects remain on schedule and economic conditions stabilise in the second half of 2026. "The local market still offers room for growth, but the next cycle will be more selective. Developers will assess purchasing power, retailer performance, construction costs and rental levels more carefully. Interest remains strong for dominant shopping centres, regional projects and well-positioned retail parks, but success will increasingly depend on the quality of the concept, the tenant mix, accessibility and the presence of genuine demand," said Liana Dumitru, Director, Retail Agency at Colliers.

Over the medium term, the outlook remains favourable. Individual consumption in Romania has reached approximately 86% of the EU average, close to Poland's level of 88%, suggesting the market is entering a more mature phase in which investment will increasingly focus on cities and projects backed by a solid consumer base and clearly demonstrated retailer demand. Economic and political uncertainty, alongside domestic fiscal imbalances, will nonetheless continue to influence the market in the near term.

RECOMMENDED
Colliers marks 30 years tracking Romania investment market
Real estate

Colliers marks 30 years tracking Romania investment market

Romania's real estate investment market has grown from a nascent segment with almost no institutional-grade assets to one capable of supporting individual transactions approaching €400 million and annual volumes above €1 billion in peak years, according to an analysis by Colliers marking the firm's 30th anniversary in Romania. Yields have fallen from above 20% in the 1990s to single-digit levels today, reflecting a fundamental shift in how investors perceive the market.

Forte Partners and AFI Romania lead AREI into new chapter
Real estate

Forte Partners and AFI Romania lead AREI into new chapter

The Association of Real Estate Investors in Romania (AREI) has elected a new leadership structure. Geo Margescu, Co-Founder and CEO of Forte Partners, has been elected as AREI President, while Doron Klein, Group Deputy CEO of AFI and CEO of AFI Romania, has been elected Vice-President.

Aurel Muntean revives 27,000 sqm Bucharest office project
Real estate

Aurel Muntean revives 27,000 sqm Bucharest office project

Romanian investor Aurel Muntean has revived plans for Unirea Business Center in central Bucharest after a decade-long standstill. The revised scheme will offer 27,000 sqm of leasable office and retail space, with completion targeted for Q2 2028, Profit.ro reports.

Cluj-Napoca leads Romania apartment price rankings
Real estate

Cluj-Napoca leads Romania apartment price rankings

Cluj-Napoca has the highest asking price per square metre among 72 Romanian localities tracked by VDI.ro, reaching €3,419 per sqm for two-room apartments, based on 50,553 listings published in the 45 days to 28 October 2026. At the other end of the scale, Petroșani recorded the lowest figure at €736 per sqm. A budget of €100,000 buys approximately 29.2 sqm in Cluj-Napoca compared with approximately 135.9 sqm in Petroșani.

Investors prioritise resilience as operational performance gains importance
Real estate

Investors prioritise resilience as operational performance gains importance

Investors and developers are becoming more selective as financing conditions, operational costs and market uncertainty put pressure on returns. At SEE Property Forum 2026 in Bucharest, industry executives discussed investment opportunities across retail, logistics and hospitality, highlighting the growing importance of asset management, reliable operational data and technology in protecting property values.

Romania industrial and logistics market sees supply surge in 2026
Real estate

Romania industrial and logistics market sees supply surge in 2026

Romania's industrial and logistics market continued to expand in the first nine months of 2026, with modern stock reaching 8.17 million sqm by the end of Q3, according to the Romania Industrial Marketbeat Q3 2026 report by Cushman & Wakefield Echinox. Deliveries of almost 340,000 sqm over the period represented an increase of more than 60% compared with the same period in 2025. Development activity accelerated through Q3, when developers completed 133,000 sqm, up 54% on Q2 and 15% on Q1.

Romania logistics market slows 30% in 2026 after record year
Real estate

Romania logistics market slows 30% in 2026 after record year

Romania's industrial and logistics market has slowed in 2026 following a record 2025. In the first nine months, publicly reported leasing transactions reached approximately 450,000 sqm, around 30% below the level recorded in the same period last year, according to Colliers data. Bucharest-Ilfov accounts for nearly 60% of the total volume, though infrastructure development is beginning to reshape the demand map across the country. Transaction volumes remain close to the ten-year average for the first three quarters and are more than 40% above the 2017–2019 average.

RECOMMENDED FROM THE HOME PAGE
Bucharest yields remain well above Western European levels
Real estate

Bucharest yields remain well above Western European levels

Bucharest is consolidating its position within the Central and Eastern European (CEE) real estate market, combining rental growth across major asset classes with investment yields that remain well above Western European levels, according to the DNA of Real Estate Europe Q2 2026 report published by Cushman & Wakefield. Across Europe in Q2 2026, prime office rents rose 4.5% year-on-year, retail rents increased 3.0%, and logistics rents grew 2.4%, while investors remained selective as yield movements pointed to a more balanced market following the repricing cycle of recent years.

Energy

Electrica secures grid permits for 700 MWh of storage

Energy company Electrica informs investors and the capital market that it has obtained the technical grid connection permits (ATR) for 17 new battery energy storage projects (BESS), with a total capacity of approximately 700 MWh.

Energy

Romanian grid operator to support peak power consumption during heatwave

Romania's national electricity transmission network operator, Transelectrica, has halted scheduled maintenance shutdowns to ensure the grid operates at maximum capacity during an ongoing extreme heatwave. The preventive measures aim to mitigate operational risks associated with severe weather conditions.