Romania's central bank announced on Friday that annual inflation will rise above previously forecast levels in Q2 2026, but will experience a substantial downward correction in Q3.
Romania's consolidated general budget recorded a deficit of €4.2 billion in the first quarter of 2026, representing 1.03% of GDP, compared to a deficit of €8.7 billion (2.28% of GDP) in the same period of 2025 over revenue growth and expenditure control.
Several EU member states have already implemented substantial tax cuts—specifically excise duties and VAT—to mitigate the impact of the fuel crisis on their economies.
Romania's consolidated general budget recorded a deficit of RON 14.23 billion (€2.86 billion) - 0.70% of GDP, in the first two months of 2026, half the RON 30.24 billion deficit (€2.86 billion) - 1.58% of GDP from the same period in 2025.
The fourth quarter of 2025 brought the weakest residential sales result in Bucharest-Ilfov in nine years and the weakest nationally in six years, according to SVN Romania. Overall, 2025 ended with a 5.3% annual decrease in home sales nationally and an 8.5% decrease in the Bucharest-Ilfov region.
Romania's consolidated general budget recorded a deficit of €21.8 billion (RON 108.87 billion) in the first ten months of 2025, representing 5.72% of GDP. This marks a decrease of €110 million compared to the same period in 2024, when the deficit stood at 6.22% of GDP.
The government has committed to a stable tax environment for the next fiscal year, officially confirming that the VAT will not be increased.
Romania has secured the European Commission's agreement to replace the National Recovery and Resilience Plan (PNRR) milestone concerning the reduction of the VAT gap.
Property transactions in Romania fell by nearly 1% in the first two months after the VAT increase compared to August-September 2024, but rose over 10% compared to May-June transactions, according to official data from the National Agency for Cadastre and Real Estate Advertising (ANCPI).
Over 119,500 residential units were sold in Romania in the first nine months of 2025, a similar level with that recorded in the same period of 2024 (down only 0.3%), according to a market analysis by SVN Romania and based on official statistics of the National Agency for Cadastre and Land Registration.
Romania's inflation will finish the year at 9.6%, according to ING Bank Romania economists. This projection comes as the country's inflation is expected...
After several years of record demand, Romania's residential market entered 2025 in a cooling phase, marked by cautious buyer sentiment. Consumer confidence recorded the steepest half-yearly decline since the 2009-2010 crisis, excluding the temporary pandemic shock when optimism quickly rebounded, according to Colliers consultants. They note the deterioration runs deeper and is expected to last longer, fueled by labor market slowdown, political instability and fiscal changes eroding purchasing power.
Romania's annual inflation rate rose to 9.9% in August, up from 7.84% in July, driven by growth of prices for non-food goods (10.48%), services (9.85%), and food products (8.92%).
The residential market in Bucharest returned to a rhythm more in line with previous years, following the record-breaking July, according to an analysis of Fortim Trusted Advisors.
Starting August 1, Romania's new fiscal package increased the standard VAT rate from 19% to 21%. It also merged the 5% and 9% reduced rates into a single 11% rate.
Romania's residential market experienced a significant surge in July, with a record number of apartment sales recorded in Bucharest and other major cities.
The increase in VAT to 21% for new homes is having a direct impact on pricing and sales strategies in the residential market, with effects already becoming visible, according to Valentin Neagu, Managing Director at Crosspoint Real Estate.
Romania is bracing for a period of economic stagnation in 2025, with growth forecasts significantly dampened by new fiscal austerity measures.
Romania's fiscal package is expected to have a substantial budgetary impact, estimated at 1.1% of GDP this year and 3.5% in 2026, finds an analysis by Fitch Ratings.
Inflation will increase over the planned fiscal package announced by Romania's Government, which includes the increase of fuel excises.
Enevo Group and Kraftfeld have signed a contract for the construction of a battery energy storage system (BESS) with a power of 110 MW and a capacity of 220 MWh, at Drăgăneşti-Olt, in Olt county, Romania.
Premier Energy has signed an up to €825 million Bridge Facility Agreement with J.P. Morgan and UniCredit to fund the acquisition of the Evryo Group, including its electricity distribution subsidiary, Distributie Energie Oltenia, as well as to refinance approximately €100 million of current indebtedness.
The Competition Council has authorised the transaction through which Pavăl Holding intends to acquire the Carrefour group in Romania.
Copenhagen Infrastructure Partners (CIP), through its Growth Markets Fund II (GMF II), announced financial close for the 392 MW Peștera II onshore wind project in Constanța County. The project represents one of the larger investments in new renewable energy infrastructure in Romania and one of the larger project finance transactions in CEE.
ETF Energie Patria - Tradeville, Romania's first sector-focused ETF, reached RON 100 million (€20 million) in total net assets on 23 June 2026, up 283.5% over the previous 12 months and by more than 15 times over the past three years.