The World Bank revised down Romania's 2026 growth forecast to 1.3%, compared to the 1.9% predicted in June 2025 and 2.6% estimated in January 2025.
The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) has cut its 2025 growth forecast for its regions by 0.2 percentage points to 3.0%, with a moderate rebound to 3.4% expected in 2026. This follows a similar downgrade in February and reflects mounting global headwinds, including rising trade policy uncertainty, softening external demand, and newly imposed tariffs.
The USD/RON pair is unlikely to experience a significant drop, given the strength of the U.S. dollar. If the rate approaches the 4.44 level, it could trigger a technical rebound.
Romania's annual inflation rate reached 9.6% in January 2026 compared to the same month in the previous year.
The Romanian economy is entering 2026 on a fragile footing, prompting ING analysts to significantly lower their growth expectations for the year.
OMV Petrom will construct a photovoltaic park at its Petrobrazi refinery in Romania.
Romania's economy grew by 0.6% in 2025 but ended the year in a technical recession.
Shareholders of state-owned nuclear power producer Nuclearelectrica have approved the final investment decision for the Small Modular Reactor (SMR) project at Doicești.