The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) has cut its 2025 growth forecast for its regions by 0.2 percentage points to 3.0%, with a moderate rebound to 3.4% expected in 2026. This follows a similar downgrade in February and reflects mounting global headwinds, including rising trade policy uncertainty, softening external demand, and newly imposed tariffs.
The USD/RON pair is unlikely to experience a significant drop, given the strength of the U.S. dollar. If the rate approaches the 4.44 level, it could trigger a technical rebound.
Romania's inflation rate is expected to reach a peak of 9.6-9.7% in September, and will likely remain above 9% by the end of the year.
Romania's Minister of Finance Alexandru Nazare has announced changes to the tax regime of multinational firms as part of a wider effort to increase revenues to the budget.
Romania's annual inflation rate has surged to 7.8% in July 2025, marking a significant increase from the previous month, according to the National Institute of Statistics (INS).
Local FMCG distributor Aquila has reported a consolidated revenue of over RON 1.5 billion (€301.8 million) during H1 2025, marking an 18% increase compared to the same period in the previous year.
DRI, the EU renewables arm of DTEK, has secured a €60 million equivalent loan from UniCredit and Garanti BBVA to finance the construction of the Văcărești solar park in Romania.