The World Bank revised down Romania's 2026 growth forecast to 1.3%, compared to the 1.9% predicted in June 2025 and 2.6% estimated in January 2025.
The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) has cut its 2025 growth forecast for its regions by 0.2 percentage points to 3.0%, with a moderate rebound to 3.4% expected in 2026. This follows a similar downgrade in February and reflects mounting global headwinds, including rising trade policy uncertainty, softening external demand, and newly imposed tariffs.
The USD/RON pair is unlikely to experience a significant drop, given the strength of the U.S. dollar. If the rate approaches the 4.44 level, it could trigger a technical rebound.
Romania's annual inflation rate reached 9.6% in January 2026 compared to the same month in the previous year.
Uber Eats will launch in Romania later this year as part of Uber's expansion across Europe.
The Romanian economy is entering 2026 on a fragile footing, prompting ING analysts to significantly lower their growth expectations for the year.
OMV Petrom will construct a photovoltaic park at its Petrobrazi refinery in Romania.
Romania's economy grew by 0.6% in 2025 but ended the year in a technical recession.