World Bank downgrades Romania's 2025 economic growth to 0.4%
The World Bank has revised Romania's GDP growth forecast for 2025 down to just 0.4%, a significant decrease from the 1.3% estimated in June.
The World Bank has revised Romania's GDP growth forecast for 2025 down to just 0.4%, a significant decrease from the 1.3% estimated in June.
Romania's consolidated budget deficit has widened to 4.54% of GDP after the first eight months of 2025, an increase from the 4.04% reported in July 2025.
Romania's real GDP growth forecast for 2025 has been cut by the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) in a new report.
The Romanian government has set a budget deficit target of 8.4% of GDP for this year, as agreed with representatives from the EC, according to PM Ilie Bolojan.
The IMF projects that Romania's economy will grow by 1% in 2025 and 1.4% in 2026, according to a report released at the end of a mission in the country.
Romania's economy has secured the third-highest GDP growth rate in the EU during Q2, according to Eurostat.
Romania's consolidated general budget execution closed the first seven months of 2025 with a nominal deficit of RON 76.44 billion (€15.34 billion), an increase of RON 5.4 billion.
Romania's GDP recorded an increase in Q2 2025, according to flash estimates from the National Institute of Statistics (INS).
Romania's fiscal package is expected to have a substantial budgetary impact, estimated at 1.1% of GDP this year and 3.5% in 2026, finds an analysis by Fitch Ratings.
Romania is moving closer to achieving fiscal-budgetary rebalancing, according to a recent report by the international rating agency Moody's.
Inflation will increase over the planned fiscal package announced by Romania's Government, which includes the increase of fuel excises.
Romania's budget deficit stood at 3.39% of GDP after the first five months of 2025, a slight decrease compared to 3.41% of GDP in the similar period last year.
The Macroeconomic confidence index, compiled by the CFA Romania Association, registered a significant increase in May 2025, rising by 11.5 points to a value of 44.9 points.
The Romanian economy is projected to grow by 1.3% this year, a decrease from the 2.1% forecast in January, according to the latest World Bank report on global economies.
The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) has cut its 2025 growth forecast for its regions by 0.2 percentage points to 3.0%, with a moderate rebound to 3.4% expected in 2026. This follows a similar downgrade in February and reflects mounting global headwinds, including rising trade policy uncertainty, softening external demand, and newly imposed tariffs.
The EBRD has slightly revised its forecasts for the Romanian economy's growth in 2025 but maintained its predictions for 2026, according to a recent report.
Romania recorded the highest government deficit among EU member states in 2024, standing at -9.3% of GDP.
Private pension funds in Romania accumulated assets worth RON 156.44 billion (€31.1 billion) by the end of December 2024.
The 2025 landscape is marked by geopolitical tensions and the upcoming Romanian presidential elections, contributing to a cautious business environment.
On a gross basis, compared with the same quarter in 2023, GDP in the fourth quarter of 2024 increased by 0.7%.

Romania's Ministry of Finance has raised approximately €4.7 billion from international financial markets through the country's first external bond issuance of 2026.
Patria Bank has signed a contract to sell its 99.9% stake in SAI Patria Asset Management to BRD Asset Management SAI for €5.5 million.
The current conflict in Iran may only have a marginal impact on the global economy, according to an opinion by stock exchange broker Investimental.
Romania continues to lag significantly behind the European average regarding the modernisation of its rail infrastructure.
Romania's Ministry of Finance has announced a new spring edition of its Tezaur government bond programme, offering citizens attractive investment opportunities with annual interest rates reaching 7%.